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September 2005
 Health Status and Medical Treatment of
the Future Elderly Final Report
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) must generate accurate predictions of
future spending for planning purposes. To investigate a better method for understanding how
medical breakthroughs and demographic trends will affect future Medicare costs, CMS
contracted with RAND to develop models to project how changes in health status, disease, and
disability among the next generation of elderly will affect future spending.
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