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July 2006
 Testing Incapacitation Theory: Youth Crime & Incarceration in
California
This study examined California's juvenile incarceration and crime
trends over the past 47 years. In addition to statewide trends,
county-by-county youth incarceration practices and crime patterns
are examined to determine differential outcomes between high
incarceration and low incarceration counties. California's youth
incarceration patterns offered an opportunity to analyze the
validity of incapacitation theory as it applies to young people.
Under incapacitation theory, counties with higher youth
incarceration rates are expected to experience accelerated
reductions in juvenile crime. Failure to demonstrate reduced crime
rates through higher levels of juvenile incarceration calls
incapacitation theory into serious question as an effective youth
crime reduction strategy.
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